Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.329826 0.355668 0.383336 0.415295 0.451357 0.490983 0.538084
2025-01-12 0.266570 0.301694 0.342167 0.392844 0.455459 0.531477 0.632668
2025-01-19 0.226495 0.265284 0.312425 0.375175 0.458521 0.568582 0.730818
2025-01-26 0.207400 0.250146 0.304560 0.381098 0.489913 0.646055 0.902340
2025-02-02 0.197254 0.244250 0.306654 0.399114 0.539627 0.759283 1.165202
2025-02-09 0.183951 0.232251 0.298448 0.400540 0.564175 0.838962 1.403548
2025-02-16 0.170439 0.218392 0.285730 0.392894 0.572191 0.891891 1.613639
2025-02-23 0.160754 0.208881 0.278046 0.391533 0.589712 0.965663 1.906575
2025-03-02 0.150987 0.198364 0.267718 0.384362 0.595394 1.017504 2.177335
2025-03-09 0.142425 0.188925 0.258109 0.377059 0.599303 1.066450 2.474169
2025-03-16 0.135017 0.180664 0.249584 0.370507 0.603352 1.116738 2.816061
2025-03-23 0.131116 0.177382 0.248557 0.376745 0.633566 1.237803 3.530084
2025-03-30 0.124083 0.169113 0.239270 0.367910 0.632887 1.286237 4.041084
2025-04-06 0.116294 0.159332 0.226995 0.352675 0.616851 1.291460 4.383520
2025-04-13 0.109414 0.150640 0.216001 0.338885 0.602198 1.297802 4.768330
2025-04-20 0.106590 0.148185 0.215257 0.344489 0.632598 1.450572 6.412020
2025-04-27 0.105639 0.148639 0.219449 0.360190 0.690529 1.725230 10.264398
2025-05-04 0.102457 0.145255 0.216676 0.361496 0.713123 1.891810 14.379787
2025-05-11 0.098350 0.140124 0.210449 0.354951 0.713930 1.975613 18.275554
2025-05-18 0.095322 0.136636 0.206939 0.353792 0.729269 2.132605 26.513929
2025-05-25 0.091812 0.132168 0.201366 0.347619 0.729445 2.223532 35.849278
2025-06-01 0.088519 0.127924 0.195962 0.341322 0.728238 2.309914 49.746710
2025-06-08 0.085522 0.124057 0.191043 0.335664 0.728024 2.404351 73.394984